Rich Text Version (rtf) – this version of the report has been produced in rtf format and all maps, tables and charts have been removed. A full version is available on this website in pdf format




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Rich Text Version (RTF) – this version of the report has been produced in rtf format and all maps, tables and charts have been removed. A full version is available on this website in pdf format.


GREATERLONDONAUTHORITY


Focus on London 2008


Editor: Gareth Piggott


DMAG

Published with the permission of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationery Office (HMSO). An acknowledgement of the source is given with each table or map. © Crown copyright 2007

Maps. All maps are © Crown copyright. All rights reserved (LA100032379) (2008) GLA

You may re-use this publication (excluding logos) free of charge in any format for research, private study or internal circulation within an organisation. You must re-use it accurately and not use it in a misleading context. The material must be acknowledged as Crown copyright and you must give the title of the source publication. Where we have identified any third party copyright material you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned.

This publication is also available at the Greater London Authority website: www.london.gov.uk/gla/dmag

Data presented in this report can be made available in other formats on request.

To request this publication in other formats or languages please contact the GLA Public Liaison Unit.

Telephone 020 7983 4100

City Hall Minicom 020 7983 4458

ISBN 978-1-84781-174-5

ISSN 1479-7879

First published 2008

This book is printed on 80 per cent recycled paper that is accredited by the Forest Stewardship Council (www.fsc.org). The paper is suitable for recycling and made from fully managed and sustained forest sources. Logging, pulping and manufacturing processes are expected to conform to the environmental regulations of the country of origin.


About the Greater London Authority

The Greater London Authority was created in 2000 as a new form of strategic citywide government, consisting of an elected Mayor and a separately elected Assembly. The Mayor’s role as the executive of the strategic authority for London is to promote economic development and wealth creation, social development, and the improvement of the environment. The Mayor also has a number of other duties in relation to culture and tourism, including responsibility for Trafalgar Square and Parliament Square. The Mayor’s responsibilities cover transport, policing, the London Fire Brigade, planning and land use, the environment and economic development in London.

About the Data Management and Analysis Group

The Data Management and Analysis Group (DMAG) is a team of statisticians and researchers who have a range of professional and technical skills in the fields of statistics, demography, geographic information (GIS) and data presentation. DMAG deals with various types of socio-economic and demographic data as well as education, crime and GIS data. DMAG has particular expertise in the analysis of government-generated data sets such as the Census, Labour Force Survey, population estimates, unemployment, welfare benefits, health and education data. Its publications - DMAG Briefings and Updates - aim to disseminate this work to as wide an audience as possible.

Contact points

For enquiries about this publication, contact the Editor

E-Mail: dmag.info@london.gov.uk

Tel: 020 7983 4327

Data Management and Analysis Group

2nd Floor, Post Point 24A

Greater London Authority

City Hall

The Queen’s Walk

More London

London

SE1 2AA

Copyright © Greater London Authority, 2008

Contents

The page numbers refer to the PDF version. In this RTF version the page numbers should be ignored.

Page

Acknowledgements xiv

Introduction xvi

Overview xvii

Structure of the publication xx

London Top Tens Table 1 Band D Council tax 2008/09 1

Table 2 Leading paid attractions in London, 2007 1

Table 3 Leading free attractions in London, 2007 1

Table 4 Cinema admissions by television region in England and Wales, 2006 1

Table 5 Attendance at London football stadia, season 2007/08 2

Table 6 Sports club membership by London borough, 2005/06 2

Table 7 Household waste that is recycled by waste disposal authority, 2006/07 2

Table 8 Greenspace by London borough 2

Table 9 Largest Royal Parks by size 3

Table 10 Annual rainfall in England and Wales by former National Rivers Authority region, 2006 3

Table 11 Height of high-rise completed buildings in London 3

Table 12 Height of other structures in London 3

Table 13 National Insurance Number registrations of non-UK nationals by country of origin, London, 2006/07 4

Table 14 National Insurance Number registrations of non-UK nationals by borough, 2006/07 4

Table 15 Primary school pupils whose first language is not English by borough, 2007 4

Table 16 Secondary school pupils whose first language is not English by borough, 2007 4

Table 17 Students at Higher Education Institutions by domicile, 2005-06 5

Table 18 Secondary schools by average GCSE point score per student, 2007 5

Table 19 Number of passengers carried by Underground line 5

Table 20 Maximum number of Underground trains required for peak period service 5

Chapter 1: Population and Migration 7

Introduction 8

Trends in total population 8

Population density 8

Table 1.1 Population density at mid-2006 9

Components of population change 9

Table 1.2 Annual population change analysis 2001-06, London and England & Wales 10

Population structure 10

Figure 1.3 Age structure of London and United Kingdom at mid-2006 10

Fertility 11

Table 1.4 Age-specific birth rates 12

Mortality 12

Migration 12

Table 1.5 Regional migration flows for selected years 13

Figure 1.6 Inter-regional migration movements within the UK, in the year ending June 2007 14

Figure 1.7 Migration between London and the rest of the UK by age groups, 2006-07 15

Population turnover 16

Map 1.8 Average population turnover rates 2001-06 16

Households 17

Table 1.9 Households by type: London and England, 2001 and 2006 17

GLA Demographic projections 18

Table 1.10 GLA 2007 round demographic projections for London: key results from PLP low 18

Table 1.11 GLA 2007 PLP low projection: borough summary 20

Table 1.12 Resident population, by sex, by region 21

Table 1.13 Resident population at mid-2006 by age groups: persons, males and females 22

Table 1.14 Population change analysis 2005-06, London boroughs 25

Table 1.15 2001-06 average turnover rates 26

Chapter 2: Diversity 27

Introduction 28

Ethnic diversity 28

Table 2.1 London’s share of the national ethnic group population, 2005 28

Map 2.2 Boundaries of local authorities and regions of England and Wales 29

Map 2.3 Ethnic diversity in England and Wales 29

Migrant diversity 29

Figure 2.4 Migrants by country of birth, geographic groupings, London residents, 2006 30

Figure 2.5 Share of UK migrant population in London by ethnicity, 2006 31

Figure 2.6 Share of London migrant population by ethnic group, London, 2006 31

Figure 2.7 Percentage of migrant population who live in London by year of arrival, 2006 32

Ethnic group projections 32

Table 2.8 Total population change, all projected ethnic groups, 2001-2026 33

Table 2.9 Ethnic group populations as a proportion of the total 33

Map 2.10 Change in BAME population, 2006-2026 34

Figure 2.11 Timeline of London Boroughs with a projected BAME majority by 2026 35

Figure 2.12 Changes in age structure of the BAME population, 2006-2026 35

Table 2.13 Top 50 local authority rankings for ethnic diversity 36

Table 2.14 Top 50 ward rankings for ethnic diversity 37

Table 2.15 Population change 2006 to 2026, by borough 38

Chapter 3: Labour market 39

Introduction 40

The labour force 40

Figure 3.1 Labour market position of working age Londoners, 2006 40

Table 3.2 Employment rates by gender and region (persons working age), 2006 40

Patterns of employment 41

Figure 3.3 Employment by occupation, working age residents, London, 2006 41

Table 3.4 Patterns of working by gender and region, 2006 41

Employment rates by London borough 41

Figure 3.5 Employment rates, persons working age, for London boroughs, 2006 42

Employment rates by age, gender and family status 42

Figure 3.6 Employment rates by age, London, 2006 43

Figure 3.7 Employment rates by gender and parenthood, London, Oct-Dec 2006 43

Figure 3.8 Employment rates by family status, London and Rest of UK, Oct-Dec 2006 43

Trends in employment rates 44

Table 3.9 Employment rates by gender, London and Rest of Great Britain, 1997-2006 44

Trends in employment rates of parents 44

Figure 3.10 Employment rates of working-age lone parents, London and Rest of UK, 1995-2006 45

Figure 3.11 Employment rates of working-age couple mothers, London and Rest of UK, 1995-2006 45

Employment and disability 45

Figure 3.12 Employment rates by disability and gender, persons working age, London, 2006 45

Diversity and employment 46

Table 3.13 Composition of the London labour force by ethnicity, country of birth and nationality, 2006 46

Figure 3.14 Employment rates by ethnic group, London, 2004-06 47

Figure 3.15 Employment rates for London’s larger migrant populations, 2001 47

Unemployment rates by region and borough 47

Figure 3.16 Unemployment rates by region, 2006 48

Table 3.17 Model-based unemployment rates for London boroughs, 2006 48

Table 3.18 Employment and economic activity rates, persons working age, London boroughs, 2006 49

Table 3.19 Employment rates by gender, London boroughs, 2006 50

Chapter 4: Economy and Industry 51

Introduction 52

Gross value added 52

Figure 4.1 Workplace-based gross value added (GVA) at current basic prices, London 52

Table 4.2 Gross value added (GVA), workplace basis by sub-region at current basic prices 52

Figure 4.3 Workforce jobs in London 1996 Q1 - 2007 Q3 53

Employment 53

Figure 4.4 London share of GB employee jobs and index of specialisation, by sector, 2006 53

Figure 4.5 Change in workforce jobs in London by sector 1981-2004 54

Table 4.6 Private sector London employment, by size of firm, 2006 54

Map 4.7 Number of employees per ward 55

Business start-ups and closures 56

Table 4.8 Business start-up and closure rates 56

Table 4.9 Workplace-based gross value added (GVA) at current basic prices 57

Table 4.10 Workplace-based gross value added (GVA) per head: indices at current basic prices 58

Table 4.11 Regional output per hour worked 58

Table 4.12 Gross value added by industry groups at current basic prices 59

Table 4.13 Employee jobs in London, by industrial sector 60

Table 4.14 Employee jobs in London in the Business Services industry, by sector 61

Table 4.15 London share of GB employee jobs and index of specialisation, by sector, 2006 62

Chapter 5: Income and Lifestyles 63

Introduction 64

Household income 64

Table 5.1 Household income: by source, 2003/04 - 2005/06 64

Table 5.2 Households by total weekly household income, 2005/06 65

Gross disposable household income (GDHI) 66

Figure 5.3 Headline GDHI per head at current prices 1995 to 2006 65

Table 5.4 Headline GDHI per head by NUTS 3 area at current prices 2000 to 2006 66

Income distribution and savings 67

Table 5.5 Income distribution of individuals: by region, 2003/04 - 2005/06 67

Table 5.6 Households by type of saving 2005/06 68

Income and tax 68

Table 5.7 Distribution of income liable to tax, 2004/05 69

Table 5.8 Average total income by sex, 2004/05 69

Figure 5.9 Average total income by sex, 2004/05 69

Receipt of benefit 70

Table 5.10 Households by state support receipt and region, 2005/06 70

Expenditure 70

Table 5.11 Household expenditure: by commodity and service, 2003/04 - 2005/06 71

Table 5.12 Expenditure on household and eating out food & drink, 2003/04 - 2005/06 72

Figure 5.13 Average household expenditure in relation to the UK, 2003/04 - 2005/06 72

Consumer goods 73

Table 5.14 Percentage of households with selected durable goods, 2003/04 - 2005/06 73

Figure 5.15 Households with internet access 74

Figure 5.16 Average household expenditure on package holidays 2003/04 - 2005/06 74

Tourism 75

Table 5.17 Tourism by residents, 2005-2006 75

Earnings and wages 75

Figure 5.18 Median gross weekly earnings by government office region, 2007 76

Table 5.19 Median weekly pay - all employee jobs by occupation: UK and London, 2007 77

Table 5.20 Median weekly pay - all employee jobs by industry: UK and London, 2007 78

Chapter 6: Poverty 79

Introduction 80

Children living in income poverty 80

Figure 6.1 Income poverty by age, London and UK, 2003/04-2005/06 80

Table 6.2 Risk of falling into low-income groups of children by region, 2003-06 81

Figure 6.3 Children living under the poverty line by region: by 50, 60 and 70 per cent median income measures, 2003/4-2005/6 82

Figure 6.4 Children living in households with below 60 per cent median income (before housing costs), 1994-2006 82

Figure 6.5 Children living in households with below 60 per cent median income (after housing costs), 1994-2006 83

Working age poverty 83

Table 6.6 Working age adults living in poverty 2003-06 83

Pensioner poverty 84

Table 6.7 Pensioners living in poverty 2003/04-2005/06 84

Benefit claimants 84

Table 6.8 Claimant rates by benefit type - summary, November 2006 85

Map 6.9 Income Support claimant rates by ward, November 2006 85

Table 6.10 Benefits claimants, 2001-2006 86

Map 6.11 Pension Credit claimant rates by ward, November 2006 88

Table 6.12 Average number of tax credit cases, change between 2004/05 and 2005/06 90

Deprivation 90

Map 6.13 IMD for Lower Super Output Areas in London in relation to England for 2007 91

Figure 6.14 Percentage of London Lower Super Output Areas among the most deprived in England, 2007 92

Table 6.15 Children living in households below 60 per cent median income (equivalised), London & Great Britain, 1994-2006 93

Table 6.16 Income Support claimants: rates and borough rankings, November 2006 94

Table 6.17 Jobseeker’s Allowance claimant rates and borough rankings, November 2006 95

Table 6.18 Housing and Council Tax Benefit recipients, November 2006 96

Table 6.19 Pension Credit claimants, by London borough, November 2006 97

Table 6.20 Children in families on key benefits, by Statistical Group, November 2006 98

Table 6.21 Average number of tax credit cases by London borough, 2005/06 99

Table 6.22 Borough ranks on summary measures of IMD2007 100

Chapter 7: Health 101

Introduction 102

Life Expectancy 102

Figure 7.1 Life expectancy at birth by sex, 1991-93 to 2004-06 102

Table 7.2 Life expectancy at age 65 (years), by sex by Government Office Region, 2004-2006 103

Life expectancy targets for Spearhead authorities 103

Disability by main impairment 104

Figure 7.3 Disabled people by main health problem or impairment, persons working age, London, 2006 104

Figure 7.4 Working age population with disability by age and gender, 2006 105

Table 7.5 Working-age employment rates by current disability, 2006 105

Health Deprivation and Disability domain 106

Table 7.6 Lower Super Output Areas falling into each decile for the Indices of Multiple Deprivation 2007 Health domain by region 106

Table 7.7 Rate of alcohol-attributable mortality for people aged under 75 (directly standardised rate) per 100,000, 2001 to 2005 107

The effect of alcohol on health outcomes 107

Figure 7.8 Age standardised rate of hospital admissions for alcohol-attributable conditions (directly standardised rate) per 100,000 (2005/06) 107

Figure 7.9 Rate of alcohol-related crime per 1,000 population (2006/07) by region 108

Table 7.10 Average weekly alcohol consumption and drinking last week 109

Table 7.11 Pupils who consumed seven or more units in the last seven days 110

Table 7.12 Age-standardised alcohol-related death rate by borough, 1998-2004 combined 111

Table 7.13 Age-standardised mortality rates: by cause and sex, 2005 112

Chapter 8: Housing 113

Introduction 114

Demographic pressures 114

Figure 8.1 Cumulative population growth since 1991 114

Affordability 114

Figure 8.2 Ratio of lower quartile house prices to lower quartile earnings 114

Homelessness 115

Homeless households in temporary accommodation 115

Figure 8.3 Number of mortgage possession orders made in county courts in London, 1991 to 2007 115

Overcrowding 115

Figure 8.4 Proportion of households overcrowded by tenure, London 116

Housing supply 117

Map 8.5 Completed housing developments: number of homes, 2006/07 117

Figure 8.6 Net conventional housing completions in London, 1997 to 2006/07 117

Future housing development 118

Map 8.7 Developments under construction or not yet started by scheme size, 2006/07 118

Mobility 118

Figure 8.8 Distance moved by current tenure, England 2005-06 118

Design quality 119

Table 8.9 Households accepted as homeless: by reason, 2006/07 119

Table 8.10 Household projections by household type and region 120

Table 8.11 Average dwelling prices, 2006 121

Table 8.12 Mortgage advances, income and age of borrowers, 2006 122

Chapter 9: Environment 123

Introduction 124

Land use 124

Figure 9.1 Hectares of land changing to residential use, 1994-2004 and 2005 124

Table 9.2 Previous use of land changing to residential use, 2003 to 2006 124

River and canal water quality 124

Table 9.3 River and canal water quality by region, 2006 125

Table 9.4 River quality in Thames region 126

Rivers and canals in London 126

Map 9.5 River and canal quality, 2004-2006 127

Water consumption 127

Table 9.6 Domestic water consumption 1999-2006 127

Table 9.7 Water loss through leakage 128

Municipal waste management 128

Figure 9.8 Method of municipal waste management by region, 2006/07 128

Air quality and greenhouse gas emissions 129

Air Pollutant Concentrations 129

Figure 9.9 Relative annual mean pollutant concentrations (O3, NOx, and NO2) monitored at several sites in London 129

Figure 9.10 Relative annual mean pollutant concentrations (CO, PM10 and SO2) monitored at several sites in London 129

Energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions 130

Table 9.11 Energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions by fuel and sector, London 2003 130

Other Greenhouse Gases 130

Table 9.12 Non-carbon dioxide Greenhouse gas emissions per year in London 131

Noise pollution 131

Figure 9.13 Noise complaints by type 131

Climate 132

Figure 9.14 Annual average temperatures and annual rainfall at London Weather Centre 132

Figure 9.15 Amounts of annual rainfall, 1990-2005 133

Table 9.16 Average rainfall by water region 133

Table 9.17 All energy usage and carbon dioxide emissions 2003 134

Chapter 10: Transport 135

Introduction 136

Travel patterns 136

Table 10.1 Distance travelled per person per year, by mode of transport, 2005-2006 136

Trip rates 136

Table 10.2 Daily average number of trips 137

Table 10.3 Modal shares of weekday trips by gender and main mode of travel (2001 and 2006/07) 137

Table 10.4 Modal share of weekday trips by disability type (2006/07) 137

Travel to central London 137

Table 10.5 People entering central London in the morning peak (7am to 10am) 138

Public transport - bus 138

Table 10.6 Bus operation and patronage in London 139

Underground 139

Table 10.7 London Underground operation and patronage in London 139

Docklands Light Railway and Tramlink 140

Figure 10.8 DLR and Tramlink operation and patronage 140

Oyster 140

Figure 10.9 Use of Oyster card for Underground and bus travel 140

Private transport vehicles 141

Table 10.10 Private cars registered in London 141

Table 10.11 Average daily vehicle flows on major roads in London by vehicle type 141

Figure 10.12 Households with regular use of 2 or more cars 142

Table 10.13 Average traffic speeds in London 142

Figure 10.14 Cars entering the Congestion Charging zone during charging hours 143

Walking and cycling 143

Figure 10.15 Walk and cycle trips by age group (2006/07) 143

Road casualties 143

Table 10.16 Changes in casualties for London casualty reduction target categories 143

Table 10.17 Road casualties in London and Great Britain by type, 2006 144

Air passengers 144

Figure 10.18 Air passengers using airports in London 144

Table 10.19 Trips by purpose by region of residence, 2005-2006 145

Table 10.20 Time taken to travel to work by workplace, fourth quarter 2006 146

Table 10.21 Motor cars currently licensed and new registrations 147

Table 10.22 Road casualties by age and type of road user, 2006 148

Chapter 11: Crime 149

Introduction 150

Recorded crime 150

Figure 11.1 Total recorded crime rate 2003/04 to 2006/07 150

Table 11.2 Total recorded crime rate 2003/04 to 2006/07 150

Table 11.3 Top ten recorded crimes rates by police force area, England and Wales, 2006/07 151

Table 11.4 Recorded crimes detected by the police by offence group, 2006/07 152

Crimes committed against households 152

Table 11.5 Crimes committed against households, 2006/07 153

Crimes committed against the person 153

Police Service Strength 154

Table 11.6 Police service strength by type, March 2007 154

Violent crime 155

Violent incidents by time of week 155

London Ambulance Service assault rates 155

Table 11.7 Violent incidents by local authority, 2006/07 156

Table 11.8 Violent incidents by time of week, 2006/07 157

Table 11.9 London Ambulance Service, assault incident rates, by Local Authority 2006/07 158

Table 11.10 Metropolitan Police Service offences by borough, 2006/07 159

Table 11.11 Sub-regional selected recorded crimes by local authority, 2006/07 160

Chapter 12: Education 161

Introduction 162

Numbers of pupils 162

Table 12.1 Actual rolls 2004 to 2007 and projected rolls 2008 to 2011 162

Figure 12.2 Maintained School Rolls, London Borough of Haringey 1966 to 1994 162

Independent schools 162

Table 12.3 Full-time equivalent (fte) teachers and pupils in maintained and independent schools and pupil-teacher ratios (ptrs), 2002 to 2004 163

Table 12.4 Candidates achieving 3 or more A grades at A level, England 2007 164

Figure 12.5 Proportion of population in different income groups after housing costs, 2001 164

Figure 12.6 Percentage of young people aged 4 to 15 not on roll in a maintained school in 2002, by average income in the home ward 164

Figure 12.7 Percentage of 2002 locally resident population attending maintained schools, by age group 165

Figure 12.8 Percentage within selected income groups on roll in 2004 but with no 2005 record by pupil age 165

Maintained schools 166

Table 12.9 Mainstream maintained primary and secondary schools, Academies and City Technology Colleges, 2002 and 2007 166

Figure 12.10 Pupils entitled to Free School Meals (FSM) or receiving support for Special Educational Needs (SEN) by school type, London 2004 167

Attainment 168

Table 12.11 Attainment at key stages 1,2 and 3 and GCSE or equivalent, 2007 167

Figure 12.12 Percentage of pupils aged 15 achieving 5 or more higher grade GCSE passes or equivalent, 2000 to 2007 168

Figure 12.13 Pupils reaching expected levels in key stage 2 tests, by income level 168

Figure 12.14 Pupils achieving 5 or more GCSE A*-C grades or equivalent by home income group 169

Attainment, ethnicity and socio-economic status 169

Figure 12.15 Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic (BAME) pupils as a percentage of all pupils 169

Figure 12.16 Percentage of White and Black Caribbean pupils in different GCSE point score ranges, 2002 170

Table 12.17 Attainment difference between pupils from BAME groups and White pupils, and between pupils in the same ethnic group living in high and low socio-economic status (SES) areas 170

Figure 12.18 Percentage of pupils aged 15 not achieving a GCSE pass above grade D by FSM in 2006 171

Table 12.19 Pupils aged 13 in 2003 living in London, average key stage 3 point scores and average GCSE and equivalent point score at age 15 in 2005 172

Figure 12.20 Consistency of attainment of pupils at key stage 3 in 2003 to key stage 4 in 2005 by selected income groups, London 172

Figure 12.21 Pupils with low or high attainment at ks3 and GCSE by ethnic group 173

Post-compulsory education 173

Table 12.22 Percentage of young people with level 3+ qualifications 174

Table 12.23 Accepted applicants, by area of domicile, 2007 174

Table 12.24 Accepted applications to institutions in different parts of the UK (degree courses), 2007 175

Table 12.25 GCSE and equivalent achievements, including English and mathematics for pupils at the end of key stage 4 by gender and by Local Authority and Government Office Region, 2006/07 176

Table 12.26 Pupils of compulsory school age and above attending mainstream maintained primary, middle and secondary schools, by ethnicity, 2007 177

Table 12.27 Level of highest qualification held by people of aged 19-59/64, Quarter 4 2007 178

Table 12.28 Achievements at GCSE and Equivalents in 2006 by ethnicity, England 179

Table 12.29 Level of highest qualification held by people of aged 19-59/642, Quarter 4 2007 180

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